Climate change is a critical
global concern. As the worldwide population grows and standards
of living increase within emerging economies, total world
energy demand is forecast to double or potentially even triple
by 2050.
The large majority of climate scientists believe that greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions from the combustion of the three hydrocarbon
fuels – coal, oil and natural gas – directly contribute to
climate change. If hydrocarbons continue to dominate the
global energy mix, total annual GHG emissions could double
by 2050, with severe and lasting global consequences predicted.
The need for the development of significant energy-efficiency
measures is clear, as is the case for a global transition
to lower-carbon energy sources and technologies.
Natural gas – the core business of BG Group – has an important
role in the transition to a lower carbon economy, as acknowledged
by the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) in its mitigation criteria. Natural gas combustion
releases 22% less carbon dioxide than oil and 40% less than
coal per unit of energy produced. Strategies to use gas as
a substitute for higher-carbon fossil fuels therefore have
a direct and immediately positive impact on global GHG reduction
targets.
The urgency of addressing climate change
The United Nations’ IPCC has concluded that evidence
indicating the “warming
of the climate system is unequivocal” and that “most
of the observed increase in global average temperatures since
the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase
in anthropogenic (man-made) GHG concentrations.”
Without stabilisation, the IPCC 4th Assessment Report projects
global temperatures could increase by between 1 degree Celsius
and 6 degrees Celsius in the course of the century.
The majority of climate scientists now believe that any increase
of more than 2 degrees Celsius would have potentially disastrous
effects on sea levels, freshwater supplies, many flora and
fauna species and ecosystems, agricultural productivity and
human health.
Key nations attending the UN Climate Change Conference in
Copenhagen in December 2009 therefore included in the Copenhagen
Accord a recognition that cooperative action must be taken
to limit the increase in global temperature to no more than
2 degrees Celsius.
This goal will not be achievable without significant and targeted
reductions in GHG emissions. We believe that the global gas
industry will play a central role in helping to achieve that
critical objective, both in reducing GHG emissions from its
own operations and in advancing the development of natural
gas as a ‘bridge fuel’ that is well-positioned as a cost
and energy-efficient substitute for oil and particularly
for coal – still the world’s predominant fuel.